Wednesday, January 06, 2021
Warnock will probably win in Georgia
Democrats are getting closer to Senate control
The runoff elections in Georgia will decide who will control the US Senate in the future. The Democrats take a first step with the presumed success of candidate Warnock. The race for the second Senate post is likely to be even closer.
According to forecasts by the US media, the Democrats of the elected US President Joe Biden have won two seats in the US Senate in the decisive runoff elections in the state of Georgia. The candidate Raphael Warnock prevailed against the Republican Kelly Loeffler, as emerged from consistent predictions of the broadcasters NBC, CBS, ABC and CNN as well as the news agency AP.
The race between the Democrat Jon Ossoff and the Republican David Perdue was initially not yet decided. Whether the Democrats get control of the powerful Congress Chamber or the Republicans can defend their slim majority now depends on the outcome. If the Democrats can secure control of the Senate, Biden can rule through at least the two years leading up to the next congressional election, if he can get the Democrats behind him in parliament. A Republican majority could prevent him from implementing bills and put obstacles in the way of appointing judges to the Supreme Court or cabinet members.
Candidates for these and other high government offices must be approved by a majority of the senators. Both parties had declared the votes on Tuesday to be a fateful election for the country and were hoping for a high turnout from their own camp. According to statistics from the Elections Project, around 3 million of the 7.2 million registered voters in Georgia cast their ballots by letter or in person at the polling station before the actual election day.
The incumbent US President Donald Trump continues to raise unsubstantiated allegations of fraud surrounding the November 3rd presidential election and refuses to admit defeat. There had been concerns among his Republicans that this would undermine the chances of success for the two Republican candidates in Georgia. The fear was that Trump’s allegations of “stolen” votes could deter Republicans from casting their votes.
One victory is not enough
In Georgia, however, the Republicans had a better starting position: a single victory in the two runoff elections is enough for them to maintain their narrow majority in the Senate. In contrast, both Democrats have to win the race against the previous Republican incumbents in order to achieve a de facto majority in the Congress Chamber. Two Democratic victories in Georgia would result in a 50-50 stalemate in the Senate. Such a stalemate could then be resolved ex officio by the future Vice President Kamala Harris in favor of the Democrats – she is also President of the Senate.
In November, the USA not only voted on the future president, but also on the composition of the House of Representatives – the other chamber of parliament – and about a third of the 100 seats in the Senate. Each state is represented by two representatives in the Senate. In Georgia, both seats were an option. None of the candidates achieved the necessary absolute majority in the first vote in November.